Numancia vs CF Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+249%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
NUM
4 - 1
MAT
47%
21%
32%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CLU
2 - 1
NUM
55%
20%
25%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
NUM
2 - 4
RAP
64%
18%
18%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MEI
2 - 1
NUM
39%
22%
39%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
NUM
0 - 0
CCR
55%
20%
24%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CF Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CLU
5 - 1
EST
63%
19%
19%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MEI
4 - 2
EST
48%
22%
30%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
EST
2 - 2
CCR
35%
22%
43%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ORT
4 - 0
EST
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
EST
1 - 2
CEB
50%
20%
30%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |