Numancia B vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+121%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
UXA
0 - 1
NUM
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 2
NUM
39%
27%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
NUM
1 - 0
BUR
62%
22%
17%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 3
NUM
25%
25%
50%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
NUM
0 - 1
LVC
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
AVI
1 - 2
BUR
77%
16%
8%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 5
AVI
15%
22%
64%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AVI
3 - 1
LVC
32%
24%
44%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SEG
1 - 0
AVI
83%
12%
5%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
AVI
0 - 2
AST
17%
22%
61%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |