Numancia B vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 1
NUM
34%
26%
41%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
NUM
0 - 1
CAT
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
AST
4 - 0
NUM
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
NUM
0 - 0
LEO
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
CAT
2 - 0
NUM
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
AST
2 - 2
SEG
33%
26%
42%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 1
AST
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
AST
4 - 0
NUM
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SEG
0 - 1
AST
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
AST
3 - 0
BUR
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |