Numancia B vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
65.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+121%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 1
NUM
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
NUM
1 - 0
CEB
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SDA
2 - 1
NUM
61%
22%
17%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
NUM
1 - 2
SJO
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
NUM
2 - 0
CDB
41%
26%
34%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
AST
4 - 0
BUR
90%
8%
2%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 3
AST
9%
18%
73%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
AST
2 - 1
LVC
78%
14%
9%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SEG
4 - 1
AST
43%
26%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
AST
4 - 2
VIL
87%
10%
4%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |