Nules vs Alaquas I Walter A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
NUL
0 - 0
VIJ
58%
24%
19%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
LEV
2 - 0
NUL
80%
14%
6%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
NUL
0 - 2
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
ALC
4 - 0
NUL
83%
11%
7%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
VIN
0 - 0
NUL
33%
28%
39%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alaquas I Walter A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
ALA
0 - 2
LEV
14%
24%
62%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
VAL
1 - 1
ALA
86%
11%
4%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
ALA
1 - 0
VIN
35%
28%
38%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
MON
3 - 0
ALA
45%
26%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
ALA
3 - 0
CAT
25%
27%
48%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |