Nules vs Moncofa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 4
NUL
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
NUL
1 - 0
ATL
29%
22%
49%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SAG
0 - 0
NUL
31%
23%
47%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 1
NUL
59%
22%
19%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
NUL
4 - 0
MAS
76%
16%
9%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Moncofa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MON
2 - 4
FAU
33%
23%
44%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CDA
5 - 3
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MON
2 - 4
BUR
27%
23%
51%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SEG
3 - 0
MON
83%
12%
6%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
BUR
32%
23%
45%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |