Nueva Zelanda U23 vs China U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
32.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Zelanda U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
NZL
2 - 0
CHN
41%
23%
37%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
JPN
0 - 0
NZL
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
ROU
0 - 0
NZL
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
NZL
2 - 3
HND
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
NZL
1 - 0
KOR
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
China U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
NZL
2 - 0
CHN
41%
23%
37%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CHN
4 - 2
THA
54%
21%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
UAE
1 - 0
CHN
37%
23%
40%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
CHN
1 - 5
AUS
42%
23%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CHN
0 - 0
KSA
41%
23%
36%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |