Nueva Zelanda U20 vs Australia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
48.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Zelanda U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
UZB
2 - 1
NZL
66%
20%
15%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
UZB
1 - 0
NZL
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
CRO
2 - 1
NZL
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2013 |
NZL
0 - 2
URU
6%
15%
79%
|
43 | 73 | 30 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
NZL
0 - 3
UZB
24%
24%
53%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Australia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 2
AUS
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
MEX
4 - 2
AUS
80%
14%
7%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2013 |
AUS
1 - 2
TUR
28%
25%
48%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2013 |
AUS
1 - 2
SLV
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
AUS
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |