Nueva Sevilla vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
VVA
3 - 2
NUE
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
NUE
4 - 1
SCF
46%
25%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ANT
1 - 3
NUE
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
NUE
2 - 0
DHE
22%
25%
53%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +5 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
SFE
4 - 0
NUE
70%
18%
12%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
LUC
1 - 0
MON
51%
26%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
LUC
1 - 0
VVA
29%
28%
43%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
SCF
1 - 1
LUC
39%
27%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
LUC
1 - 1
ANT
37%
27%
36%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
DHE
0 - 0
LUC
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |