Nueva Concepción vs Xinabajul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
44%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
NUE
1 - 3
MIX
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ESC
4 - 1
NUE
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 1
NUE
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NUE
2 - 1
SPD
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
COA
3 - 0
NUE
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 1
XIN
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
XIN
3 - 0
SPD
36%
26%
37%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
COA
0 - 0
XIN
40%
25%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
XIN
3 - 1
IZT
52%
25%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
LAG
1 - 0
XIN
38%
24%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |