Copa Guatemala 1/16
Global 4-5
Nueva Concepción vs Siquinalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
59.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
NUE
0 - 0
REU
39%
23%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
LEO
2 - 1
NUE
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
NUE
3 - 1
QUI
39%
25%
37%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +3 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
VEN
3 - 1
NUE
80%
14%
7%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SOL
3 - 1
NUE
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -3 |
Matches
Siquinalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
TOR
3 - 3
SIQ
61%
24%
15%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SIQ
4 - 3
DSA
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -6 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 0
SIQ
26%
30%
44%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SIQ
0 - 2
COM
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
IZT
1 - 1
SIQ
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |