Nueva Concepción vs Siquinalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
NUE
2 - 0
IZT
49%
23%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SIQ
3 - 1
NUE
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SLC
1 - 0
NUE
42%
24%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
NUE
4 - 0
ROS
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
REU
1 - 1
NUE
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Siquinalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SIQ
0 - 0
DSA
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
DSA
1 - 1
SIQ
39%
26%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SIQ
1 - 0
MIX
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
MIX
2 - 2
SIQ
29%
25%
45%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SIQ
1 - 0
SAC
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |