Nueva Concepción vs Cotzumalguapa analysis

Nueva Concepción Cotzumalguapa
44 ELO 49
2.8% Tilt 7.6%
20564º General ELO ranking 31993º
28º Country ELO ranking 49º
ELO win probability
30.1%
Nueva Concepción
25.7%
Draw
44.2%
Cotzumalguapa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
Nueva Concepción
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
44.2%
Win probability
Cotzumalguapa
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nueva Concepción
+19%
+7%
Cotzumalguapa

Points and table prediction

Nueva Concepción
Their league position
Cotzumalguapa
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
17º
16º
18
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Juventud Copalera
36
36
100%
Universidad San Carlos
35
35
100%
Suchitepequez
32
32
100%
Iztapa
32
32
100%
Marquense
31
31
100%
Aurora FC
31
31
0%
Juventud Pinulteca
31
31
0%
Sacachispas
30
30
100%
Heredia
14º
24
27
62%
Mictlán
26
26
10º
38%
San Benito CF
10º
26
26
11º
0%
CD San Pedro
11º
25
25
12º
85.5%
Deportivo Barberena
12º
25
25
13º
14.5%
Democracia FC.
13º
25
25
14º
0%
Quiché
15º
22
22
15º
100%
Nueva Concepción
16º
21
21
16º
100%
Cotzumalguapa
17º
18
18
17º
100%
Cuilapa FC
18º
15
15
18º
100%
Sololá
19º
13
13
19º
100%
Deportivo Fraijanes
20º
8
8
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Nueva Concepción
Cotzumalguapa
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Nueva Concepción
Cotzumalguapa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nueva Concepción
Nueva Concepción
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2024
NUE
Nueva Concepción
1 - 2
CD San Pedro
SPD
30%
26%
44%
44 51 7 0
22 Feb. 2024
QUI
Quiché
3 - 3
Nueva Concepción
NUE
49%
26%
26%
43 49 6 +1
18 Feb. 2024
VEN
Suchitepequez
1 - 0
Nueva Concepción
NUE
70%
18%
13%
43 53 10 0
11 Feb. 2024
NUE
Nueva Concepción
1 - 1
Marquense
LEO
35%
27%
38%
43 50 7 0
07 Feb. 2024
SOL
Sololá
1 - 0
Nueva Concepción
NUE
29%
24%
47%
44 38 6 -1

Matches

Cotzumalguapa
Cotzumalguapa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2024
SLC
Cotzumalguapa
4 - 1
Quiché
QUI
53%
24%
24%
49 49 0 0
22 Feb. 2024
LEO
Marquense
3 - 0
Cotzumalguapa
SLC
50%
24%
26%
50 50 0 -1
18 Feb. 2024
SLC
Cotzumalguapa
1 - 2
Juventud Copalera
DJC
74%
16%
10%
50 35 15 0
10 Feb. 2024
DFC
Democracia FC.
2 - 0
Cotzumalguapa
SLC
33%
25%
42%
52 44 8 -2
07 Feb. 2024
SLC
Cotzumalguapa
2 - 2
CD San Pedro
SPD
58%
22%
20%
52 49 3 0