Nueva Concepción vs Cotzumalguapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
50.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
NUE
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 0
ANT
18%
26%
56%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
COB
2 - 0
NUE
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 2
COM
19%
26%
55%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ACH
1 - 0
NUE
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cotzumalguapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
SLC
3 - 1
SOL
65%
23%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 0
SLC
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SLC
3 - 3
IZT
35%
28%
38%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MUN
1 - 1
SLC
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
SLC
0 - 3
TOR
49%
28%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |