Nueva Concepción vs Cotzumalguapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
DEP
3 - 0
NUE
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NUE
2 - 0
ESC
62%
20%
18%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 2
NUE
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NUE
3 - 0
SIQ
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
NUE
2 - 0
IZT
49%
23%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Cotzumalguapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SLC
2 - 1
REU
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
IZT
3 - 0
SLC
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SLC
2 - 1
ROS
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SPD
2 - 1
SLC
41%
25%
35%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SLC
4 - 1
BAR
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +2 |