Nueva Concepción vs Cotzumalguapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PUE
0 - 1
NUE
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
HUE
1 - 0
NUE
49%
24%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
NUE
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
NUE
4 - 2
HAL
35%
25%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
IZT
0 - 1
NUE
43%
24%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cotzumalguapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SLC
3 - 0
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
SLC
2 - 0
PUE
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
HUE
3 - 0
SLC
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SLC
4 - 2
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HAL
3 - 2
SLC
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |