Nueva Concepción vs Cotzumalguapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
IZT
4 - 1
NUE
33%
24%
44%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
NUE
1 - 0
HER
36%
25%
40%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
NUE
2 - 0
BAR
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
AYU
1 - 1
NUE
39%
24%
37%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
NUE
4 - 1
HUE
40%
25%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Cotzumalguapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
SLC
1 - 1
HUE
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
SLC
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
IZT
1 - 0
SLC
26%
24%
50%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
SLC
1 - 0
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
COM
7 - 2
SLC
54%
22%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -6 |