Nueva Concepción vs San Juan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SPD
6 - 0
NUE
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
NUE
2 - 1
VEN
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SOL
2 - 1
NUE
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
NUE
2 - 3
GUA
20%
29%
51%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SLC
8 - 1
NUE
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SJF
2 - 1
SOL
30%
25%
46%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
PUE
2 - 0
SJF
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |