Nueva Concepción vs Rosario FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
VEN
4 - 0
NUE
66%
18%
15%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
NUE
0 - 0
LEO
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
REU
3 - 0
NUE
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
NUE
2 - 2
QUI
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SOL
3 - 2
NUE
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rosario FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SOL
3 - 1
ROS
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ROS
2 - 4
VEN
11%
19%
70%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ROS
0 - 3
SPD
15%
22%
63%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -3 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CHI
7 - 1
ROS
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
ROS
1 - 5
SLC
18%
25%
57%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -2 |