Nueva Concepción vs Puerto San José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NUE
1 - 1
HUE
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
HER
4 - 2
NUE
60%
20%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
NUE
2 - 2
HER
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NUE
3 - 0
DEP
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
NUE
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Puerto San José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PUE
2 - 1
SLC
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
PUE
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
PUE
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 2
NUE
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
HUE
2 - 0
PUE
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |