Nueva Concepción vs Puerto San José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
COA
1 - 1
NUE
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SPD
2 - 0
NUE
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
NUE
2 - 0
AYU
44%
25%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
RET
0 - 1
NUE
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
IZT
4 - 2
NUE
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Puerto San José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 1
IZT
47%
26%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PUE
2 - 1
LAG
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 1
PUE
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 0
ANT
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 0
RET
25%
27%
48%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |