Nueva Concepción vs Puerto San José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ESC
9 - 1
NUE
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 1
IZT
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
XIN
0 - 0
NUE
67%
21%
12%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
NUE
1 - 1
AUR
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
SPD
4 - 0
NUE
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Puerto San José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PUE
0 - 1
SPD
47%
25%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
COA
2 - 1
PUE
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PUE
3 - 0
MIX
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PUE
3 - 1
LAG
44%
26%
31%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 2
PUE
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |