Primera Clausura Knock-outs Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
Nueva Concepción vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
44.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
MIX
1 - 1
NUE
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SOL
1 - 2
NUE
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
NUE
2 - 0
PUE
52%
24%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 1
VEN
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
COA
4 - 1
NUE
42%
25%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
MIX
1 - 1
NUE
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ZAC
1 - 0
MIX
21%
25%
54%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
MIX
1 - 0
SAY
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
MIX
0 - 0
CON
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 2
MIX
20%
27%
53%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |