Nueva Concepción vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ESC
4 - 1
NUE
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 1
NUE
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NUE
2 - 1
SPD
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
COA
3 - 0
NUE
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
NUE
1 - 0
IZT
46%
26%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MIX
2 - 0
AUR
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SPD
3 - 1
MIX
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MIX
0 - 0
COA
53%
24%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
IZT
0 - 1
MIX
47%
25%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MIX
1 - 2
LAG
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |