Nueva Concepción vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LAG
1 - 1
NUE
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 0
PUE
42%
26%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ESC
9 - 1
NUE
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 1
IZT
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
XIN
0 - 0
NUE
67%
21%
12%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
MIX
2 - 1
SPD
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
COA
3 - 0
MIX
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MIX
1 - 0
AUR
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
MIX
1 - 0
LAG
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PUE
3 - 0
MIX
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |