Nueva Concepción vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
AUR
1 - 1
NUE
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
NUE
0 - 0
IZT
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
LAG
2 - 1
NUE
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
NUE
2 - 1
COA
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ANT
1 - 2
NUE
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
MIX
1 - 1
AUR
42%
24%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
IZT
3 - 1
MIX
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
MIX
2 - 1
LAG
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
COA
0 - 3
MIX
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
MIX
0 - 2
SPD
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -2 |