Nueva Concepción vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
NUE
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NUE
1 - 0
AUR
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PUE
3 - 1
NUE
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
NUE
1 - 0
ESC
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
COA
3 - 0
NUE
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MIX
2 - 1
IZT
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
MIX
2 - 1
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 1
MIX
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MIX
3 - 2
PUE
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ESC
3 - 2
MIX
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |