Nueva Concepción vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
QUI
0 - 0
NUE
37%
26%
36%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
NUE
0 - 0
SJF
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SPD
6 - 0
NUE
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
NUE
2 - 1
VEN
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SOL
2 - 1
NUE
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
LEO
2 - 1
SOL
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
PUE
4 - 2
LEO
33%
29%
38%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
COA
1 - 0
LEO
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 1
QUI
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 1
XIN
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |