Nueva Concepción vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
XIN
2 - 1
NUE
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
NUE
3 - 1
CHI
59%
23%
19%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LEO
2 - 0
NUE
49%
24%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
NUE
4 - 2
REU
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
QUI
0 - 1
NUE
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
LEO
3 - 1
SOL
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
REU
1 - 0
LEO
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
LEO
2 - 1
MIX
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
MIX
1 - 0
LEO
30%
27%
42%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LEO
2 - 0
NUE
49%
24%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |