Nueva Concepción vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
REU
3 - 0
NUE
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
NUE
2 - 2
QUI
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SOL
3 - 2
NUE
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
NUE
0 - 1
CHI
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
SPD
2 - 0
NUE
53%
25%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
LEO
1 - 1
SPD
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
LEO
1 - 1
REU
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SLC
1 - 0
LEO
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
LEO
1 - 0
QUI
48%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
LEO
1 - 0
SOL
55%
23%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |