Nueva Concepción vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 0
NUE
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
NUE
4 - 0
VEN
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
NUE
2 - 1
SOL
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ROS
0 - 4
NUE
33%
26%
42%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SPD
0 - 0
NUE
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LEO
0 - 0
SOL
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ROS
1 - 1
LEO
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LEO
2 - 1
SPD
57%
23%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 0
LEO
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SLC
5 - 1
LEO
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |