Nueva Concepción vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
51.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
COM
7 - 0
NUE
72%
18%
11%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
TOR
5 - 1
NUE
74%
18%
8%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
NUE
0 - 2
SOL
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 0
NUE
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 1
IZT
20%
23%
56%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 0
CHI
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
COM
0 - 0
TOR
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 0
COM
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
ANT
1 - 1
TOR
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 0
ANT
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |