Nueva Concepción vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
42.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SOL
3 - 0
NUE
34%
26%
41%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
NUE
2 - 0
CHI
21%
27%
53%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
IZT
2 - 0
NUE
77%
16%
8%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
NUE
0 - 2
MUN
22%
27%
52%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
SLC
2 - 1
NUE
65%
23%
13%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 1
GUA
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SOL
0 - 2
TOR
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 1
ANT
35%
28%
38%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOR
58%
24%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 0
COB
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |