Nueva Concepción vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
50.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
MIX
3 - 0
NUE
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
NUE
2 - 1
IZT
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
AUR
3 - 0
NUE
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ANT
1 - 0
NUE
67%
20%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
NUE
2 - 1
SPD
27%
25%
49%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
TOR
5 - 2
ESC
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
TOR
2 - 0
MIX
73%
17%
9%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
IZT
0 - 0
TOR
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 2
TOR
49%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
TOR
4 - 2
ANT
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |