Nueva Concepción vs Juv.Retalteca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
NUE
5 - 2
IZT
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LAG
1 - 2
NUE
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
NUE
1 - 0
AUR
39%
26%
36%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ANT
3 - 1
NUE
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NUE
3 - 1
PUE
44%
26%
31%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Juv.Retalteca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
RET
0 - 3
PUE
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
IZT
3 - 0
RET
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
RET
0 - 3
COA
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LAG
3 - 0
RET
34%
27%
40%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
RET
1 - 1
SPD
67%
20%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |