Nueva Concepción vs Juventud Escuintleca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
IZT
3 - 1
NUE
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 0
XIN
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 1
NUE
60%
23%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -3 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 1
CAR
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
IZT
1 - 1
NUE
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud Escuintleca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ESC
4 - 1
SPD
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
COA
2 - 2
ESC
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 2
ESC
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
ESC
0 - 1
IZT
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ESC
2 - 0
COA
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |