Nueva Concepción vs Juventud Escuintleca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 0
NUE
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
PUE
1 - 0
NUE
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
NUE
4 - 1
MIX
52%
24%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
AUR
1 - 1
NUE
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
NUE
0 - 0
IZT
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud Escuintleca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ESC
3 - 3
AUR
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
IZT
1 - 0
ESC
60%
21%
18%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ESC
1 - 3
LAG
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
COA
1 - 1
ESC
46%
25%
30%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
ESC
5 - 2
SPD
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +3 |