Nueva Concepción vs Iztapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
DEP
4 - 0
NUE
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
NUE
4 - 0
BAR
61%
21%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NUE
2 - 1
SLC
51%
23%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PUE
0 - 1
NUE
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
HUE
1 - 0
NUE
49%
24%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
IZT
1 - 0
SLC
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
PUE
0 - 1
IZT
36%
26%
39%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
HUE
3 - 2
IZT
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
IZT
4 - 3
HER
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
HAL
2 - 0
IZT
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |