Nueva Concepción vs Iztapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
NUE
76%
14%
10%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
NUE
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
HAL
2 - 1
NUE
73%
17%
11%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
NUE
2 - 1
PUE
49%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
4 - 0
NUE
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
IZT
1 - 1
HUE
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SLC
1 - 0
IZT
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
IZT
1 - 3
DEP
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
IZT
72%
16%
12%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
IZT
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |