Nueva Concepción vs Iztapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SPD
3 - 2
NUE
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
NUE
1 - 0
BAR
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
AUR
3 - 2
NUE
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
NUE
2 - 1
COM
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 1
NUE
35%
24%
40%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
IZT
5 - 1
DEP
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
IZT
0 - 1
HUE
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
SPD
3 - 2
IZT
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
IZT
3 - 1
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 0
IZT
30%
27%
44%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |