Nueva Concepción vs Iztapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LAG
1 - 2
NUE
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
NUE
1 - 0
AUR
39%
26%
36%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ANT
3 - 1
NUE
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NUE
3 - 1
PUE
44%
26%
31%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
COA
1 - 1
NUE
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
IZT
3 - 0
RET
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
IZT
4 - 1
LAG
45%
26%
30%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
AUR
4 - 2
IZT
42%
27%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
IZT
5 - 4
ANT
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 1
IZT
47%
26%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |