Nueva Concepción vs Iztapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 2
NUE
49%
24%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
NUE
0 - 0
PUE
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
XIN
0 - 1
NUE
58%
24%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
AUR
3 - 2
NUE
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
NUE
1 - 3
SPD
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
IZT
2 - 1
AUR
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SPD
1 - 0
IZT
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
IZT
1 - 2
COA
52%
24%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ANT
4 - 1
IZT
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
IZT
2 - 0
ANT
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |