Nueva Concepción vs Iztapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
LAG
2 - 1
NUE
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
NUE
2 - 1
COA
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ANT
1 - 2
NUE
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
NUE
2 - 1
TOR
43%
26%
32%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
AME
1 - 1
NUE
38%
27%
36%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
IZT
2 - 1
AUR
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
PUE
0 - 0
IZT
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
MIX
3 - 1
IZT
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
IZT
4 - 3
ANT
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
TOR
3 - 3
IZT
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |