Nueva Concepción vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HAL
3 - 2
NUE
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NUE
2 - 1
IZT
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
DEP
4 - 0
NUE
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
NUE
4 - 0
BAR
61%
21%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NUE
2 - 1
SLC
51%
23%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
SLC
69%
18%
14%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PUE
0 - 1
HER
19%
23%
58%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
HUE
1 - 1
HER
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
HER
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
HAL
65%
19%
16%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |