Nueva Concepción vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
NUE
2 - 0
BAR
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
AYU
1 - 1
NUE
39%
24%
37%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
NUE
4 - 1
HUE
40%
25%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
NUE
1 - 2
DEP
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
IZT
3 - 1
NUE
42%
24%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
HER
4 - 1
HUE
71%
16%
13%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
SLC
1 - 0
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
HER
1 - 0
DEP
61%
20%
20%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
SAY
2 - 1
HER
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
QUI
74%
15%
11%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |