Nueva Concepción vs Halcones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
IZT
0 - 1
NUE
43%
24%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
NUE
1 - 3
DEP
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
NUE
27%
24%
50%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SLC
3 - 3
NUE
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
NUE
9 - 1
PUE
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HAL
3 - 2
SLC
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
PUE
2 - 0
HAL
19%
22%
58%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
HUE
2 - 0
HAL
33%
25%
43%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
HAL
3 - 1
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HAL
2 - 0
BAR
71%
17%
11%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |