Nueva Concepción vs La Gomera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
DEP
3 - 1
NUE
51%
24%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
NUE
2 - 2
DEP
32%
27%
42%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
NUE
2 - 1
HUE
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
AUR
4 - 1
NUE
37%
27%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
LAG
1 - 2
NUE
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
La Gomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 1
AUR
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
LAG
3 - 2
AYU
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
PUE
3 - 0
LAG
36%
27%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
DEP
3 - 0
LAG
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
LAG
2 - 0
DEP
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +3 |