Nueva Concepción vs La Gomera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 1
NUE
55%
25%
20%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
NUE
1 - 3
ANT
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
PUE
3 - 1
NUE
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
NUE
1 - 2
COA
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
COB
2 - 1
NUE
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -3 |
Matches
La Gomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 1
IZT
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
RET
1 - 2
LAG
75%
17%
9%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 1
LAG
37%
28%
35%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 1
ANT
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
LAG
3 - 0
COA
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |