Nueva Concepción vs La Gomera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PUE
2 - 0
NUE
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
NUE
0 - 0
ESC
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
IZT
3 - 1
NUE
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 0
XIN
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 1
NUE
60%
23%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -3 |
Matches
La Gomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LAG
1 - 1
SPD
50%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
COA
3 - 0
LAG
46%
25%
30%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
LAG
2 - 1
MIX
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 1
LAG
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
LAG
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |