Nueva Concepción vs Escuintla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
NUE
1 - 4
SLC
53%
23%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
3 - 1
NUE
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
NUE
3 - 3
IZT
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SOL
1 - 0
NUE
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NUE
6 - 1
BAR
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Escuintla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
ESC
3 - 0
BAR
51%
21%
27%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SLC
3 - 1
ESC
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
ESC
2 - 3
ROS
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
ESC
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ESC
0 - 1
DEP
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |